Every calendar tells you what printed. This one tells you
what happened next - how far the Nasdaq 100 and S&P 500 actually moved
after each of the last five releases, and how the first move played out to the close.
Trend or reversal? Did the first 5 minutes set the direction to the 16:00 ET close
Trend: the 16:00 ET close was on the same side of the release price as the 5-minute mark. Reversal: it closed on the other side. Neither says what happened in between. Past counts, not odds for the next release.
All27 of 38 held
↗ 71% trend29% reversal ↺
↗ 71% trend↺ 29% reversal
Last 6 months5 of 6 held
↗ 83% trend17% reversal ↺
↗ 83% trend↺ 17% reversal
Latest14 Oct 2026
↗ Trendfirst 5 min down 0.74%, 16:00 close down 2.14% from the release price
ordinary day without one of these releases at 08:30 ET: 54% (313 of 579 weekdays, measured on Nasdaq 100 micro futures, not the index CFD)
82%09:00
71%10:00
71%11:00
74%12:00
61%13:00
63%14:00
63%15:00
71%16:00
on the first move’s side of the release price at that timeon the other side at that time
Trend or reversal? Did the first 5 minutes set the direction to the 16:00 ET close
Trend: the 16:00 ET close was on the same side of the release price as the 5-minute mark. Reversal: it closed on the other side. Neither says what happened in between. Past counts, not odds for the next release.
All22 of 38 held
↗ 58% trend42% reversal ↺
↗ 58% trend↺ 42% reversal
Last 6 months1 of 6 held
↗ 17% trend83% reversal ↺
↗ 17% trend↺ 83% reversal
Latest15 Oct 2026
↺ Reversalfirst 5 min down 0.12%, 16:00 close up 1.03% from the release price
ordinary day without one of these releases at 08:30 ET: 54% (313 of 579 weekdays, measured on Nasdaq 100 micro futures, not the index CFD)
84%09:00
74%10:00
55%11:00
66%12:00
53%13:00
58%14:00
61%15:00
58%16:00
on the first move’s side of the release price at that timeon the other side at that time
The six largest companies in each slot are named, all worth more than $10 billion, grouped by market cap as a rough guide to size. Cap alone does not tell you whether a company is in an index, how much it weighs there, or how far its report will move anything. Smaller companies are counted, not listed - on a busy day that is over 200 of them. Each day is split by when the report lands: before the open sets up the cash session, after the close shows up in the next morning's gap.
over $500 billion$100 to $500 billion$10 to $100 billion
Monday, 9 Nov
Before the open
CEGConstellation Energy Corporation$93B
KKRKKR & Co. Inc.$86B
BBarrick Mining Corporation$61B
FERGFerguson Enterprises Inc.$47B
IXORIX Corporation$40B
ROIVRoivant Sciences Ltd.$26B
After the close
OXYOccidental Petroleum Corporation$60B
SKYDSkydance Corporation$41B
TTWOTake-Two Interactive Software, Inc.$36B
RKLBRocket Lab Corporation$34B
BAPCredicorp Ltd.$28B
CIBGrupo Cibest S.A.$22B
Time not announced
BEKEKE Holdings Inc$20B
SMMTSummit Therapeutics Inc.$13B
and 8 more worth $10 billion or more, plus 224 smaller companies
Tuesday, 10 Nov
Before the open
TDGTransdigm Group Incorporated$67B
SESea Limited$47B
VODVodafone Group Plc$36B
VGVenture Global, Inc.$33B
ONONOn Holding AG$22B
After the close
PBRPetroleo Brasileiro S.A.- Petrobras$136B
PBR.APetroleo Brasileiro S.A.- Petrobras$136B
ALCAlcon Inc.$36B
ECEcopetrol S.A.$34B
CRWVCoreWeave, Inc.$30B
VIVTelefonica Brasil S.A.$18B
and 141 smaller companies, each under $10 billion
Wednesday, 11 Nov
Before the open
GIBCGI Inc.$19B
After the close
VYLRVylor Inc.$48B
FNVFranco-Nevada Corporation$44B
TTEKTetra Tech, Inc.$10B
Time not announced
CSCOCisco Systems, Inc.$406B
ASNDAscendis Pharma A/S$16B
and 221 smaller companies, each under $10 billion
Thursday, 12 Nov
Before the open
BNBrookfield Corporation$99B
NBISNebius Group N.V.$41B
After the close
AMATApplied Materials, Inc.$303B
CBRSCerebras Systems Inc.$23B
Time not announced
NUNu Holdings Ltd.$56B
JDJD.com, Inc.$36B
BSPBending Spoons S.p.A.$30B
BNTBrookfield Wealth Solutions Ltd.$14B
and 330 smaller companies, each under $10 billion
Friday, 13 Nov
Time not announced
MUFGMitsubishi UFJ Financial Group Inc$252B
SMFGSumitomo Mitsui Financial Group Inc$152B
MFGMizuho Financial Group, Inc.$119B
KBKB Financial Group Inc$39B
WFWoori Bank$16B
LTMLATAM Airlines Group S.A.$13B
and 212 smaller companies, each under $10 billion
Reporting dates and company sizes from Nasdaq's own earnings calendar. Size is a stand-in for weight in an index, which is what actually decides how far a report can push the market - a large company outside the Nasdaq 100 and the S&P 500 will still be listed here.
Get the week ahead, with the numbers
One email before the week opens: which releases are coming, and how the Nasdaq 100 and S&P 500 moved after the last five of each.
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