For TradingView traders who trade the US morning

The CPI line on your TradingView chart already says trend 71%.

TradingCipher Events puts every high- and medium-impact US release on your TradingView chart before it prints, with its trend probability: how often, since August 2023, the move of the first five minutes after that release held all the way to the close. An alert reaches you a few minutes before each one.

Trend probability by release

CPI trend 71%JOLTS trend 87%GDP rev 57%

Works on TradingView: access goes to your own TradingView username

TradingView
Alert before each release

CPI on a 5-minute NQ chart in TradingView with CPI trend 71% at the top of the release line; a hard drop at 08:30, then a walk lower into the close, and the NEXT table of the coming releases at the bottom right — 14 October 2026, CPI at 08:30 ET on a 5-minute NQ chart. The line said trend 71% before the print; the first move down held into the close.

What "trend 71%" on a line means

Every release since August 2023, measured the same way on the Nasdaq 100.

1The release printsThe index price at the release minute is the reference.

2Five minutes go byDid the market go up or down from the reference?

3The 16:00 ET closeDid the day close on the same side as those five minutes?

trendThe first move usually held into the close. "trend 71%": it held on 71% of past releases.

revThe first move usually gave way. "rev 58%": the day closed on the other side 58% of the time.

What is on your chart

Every release, its record, and a warning before it prints

Red and orange linesRed for the releases that move the index most (CPI, PPI, NFP, the Fed, retail sales, PCE, GDP), orange for the medium tier (JOLTS, durable goods, housing starts, new home sales, the trade balance, import prices, productivity).
The record on each line"trend 71%" or "rev 58%", read before the release, not after it.
Big-company earningsIn purple, below the bars, filtered by market cap.
The next releases, ahead of timeDashed lines right of the last bar, and the NEXT table with the time in your zone, the record and the time left.
An alert before each releaseSet one TradingView alert on the indicator and it reaches you a few minutes before every release, with its record in the message.
Any symbol, any timeframeNQ, MNQ, ES, QQQ or a stock: the lines sit on the bar the release printed in.
Nasdaq 100 or S&P 500 recordsEach record is counted on both indexes. One setting picks which the chart shows: the Nasdaq 100 for NQ and MNQ, the S&P 500 for ES and MES.

The NEXT table: durable goods rev 58%, new home sales trend 57%, the Fed decision trend 61%, PCE and GDP rev 7/10, JOLTS trend 87%, with the time left to each — The NEXT table on a TradingView chart.

On a real chart

Four days on TradingView, including one that went the other way

Two weeks of October on a 1-hour NQ chart: PPI and retail sales trend 4/7, import prices trend 65%, housing starts trend 59%, earnings in purple below the bars, new home sales dashed ahead of the last bar, and the NEXT table — **Two weeks on one chart.** 1-hour NQ, mid October: each release with its record, earnings below the bars, next week's releases dashed to the right, and the NEXT table.

NFP on 2 October on a 5-minute NQ chart with NFP trend 70% on the line; a jump at 08:30, a high at 10:30, a drop, and a close above the release price — **Jobs report, 2 October, trend 70%.** A jump at the print and a round trip by midday; the day still closed above the 08:30 price.

Housing starts on 20 October in orange with trend 59%, earnings of GE and RTX before the open and more after the close — **Housing starts, 20 October, trend 59%.** A medium-impact release in orange, a small first move up, and a close above it. Earnings before the open and after the close in purple.

The Fed decision on 16 September at 14:00 with trend 61%; the first move up gave way and the day closed lower — **The Fed, 16 September, trend 61%.** The first move was up and the day closed below it. A record, not a promise: on the other 39% of Fed days, this is what happened.

Click a picture to see it full size. Real days from the chart, picked to show what the lines look like, including a day the record did not hold. Past moves say nothing about the next one.

Questions

Before you add it

How do I get access?

TradingCipher Events is an invite-only script on TradingView. Access is given to the TradingView username you enter at checkout; it then appears under Indicators, Invite-only scripts.

Is it a signal?

No. It does not tell you the number, the consensus or which way the market leans. It tells you when, and what happened the other times, and leaves the trade to you. A count of the past, not a forecast.

How does it stay up to date?

The release calendar is set through 2027 and built into the script. Earnings dates are added as they are announced, and every update reaches your chart on its own.

I trade on NinjaTrader.

There is a NinjaTrader 8 edition with the same lines and records: TradingCipher Events for NinjaTrader 8.

Put the record on your chart before the next release

TradingView is a trademark of TradingView, Inc. TradingCipher is not affiliated with TradingView.

Releases: Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (Core PCE) Consumer Price Index (CPI) Durable Goods Orders Fed Rate Decision (FOMC) Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Housing Starts and Building Permits Import and Export Prices Job Openings and Labor Turnover (JOLTS) New Home Sales Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) Producer Price Index (PPI) Productivity and Unit Labor Costs Retail Sales Trade Balance (International Trade)