Every calendar tells you what printed. This one tells you
what happened next - how far the Nasdaq 100 and S&P 500 actually moved
after each of the last five releases, and how the first move played out to the close.
US releases, Mon 2 to Sun 8 Nov 2026 (dates in New York time)
Measured yesterday, 3 Nov 2026: the Nasdaq 100 ran 0.42% high to low in the first thirty minutes and closed the half hour at +0.18%. Minute by minute →
Trend or reversal? Did the first 5 minutes set the direction to the 16:00 ET close
Trend: the 16:00 ET close was on the same side of the release price as the 5-minute mark. Reversal: it closed on the other side. Neither says what happened in between. Past counts, not odds for the next release.
All34 of 39 held
↗ 87% trend13% reversal ↺
↗ 87% trend↺ 13% reversal
Last 6 months6 of 7 held
↗ 86% trend14% reversal ↺
↗ 86% trend↺ 14% reversal
Latest3 Nov 2026
↗ Trendfirst 5 min up 0.01%, 16:00 close up 0.06% from the release price
ordinary day without one of these releases at 10:00 ET: 58% (432 of 741 weekdays, measured on Nasdaq 100 micro futures, not the index CFD)
69%10:30
72%11:00
72%12:00
69%13:00
72%14:00
79%15:00
87%16:00
on the first move’s side of the release price at that timeon the other side at that time
Measured today, 4 Nov 2026: the Nasdaq 100 ran 0.39% high to low in the first thirty minutes and closed the half hour at +0.00%. Minute by minute →
Trend or reversal? Did the first 5 minutes set the direction to the 16:00 ET close
Trend: the 16:00 ET close was on the same side of the release price as the 5-minute mark. Reversal: it closed on the other side. Neither says what happened in between. Past counts, not odds for the next release.
All19 of 36 held
↗ 53% trend47% reversal ↺
↗ 53% trend↺ 47% reversal
Last 6 months3 of 4 held
↗ 75% trend25% reversal ↺
↗ 75% trend↺ 25% reversal
Latest6 Oct 2026
↗ Trendfirst 5 min down 0.07%, 16:00 close down 0.06% from the release price
ordinary day without one of these releases at 08:30 ET: 54% (313 of 579 weekdays, measured on Nasdaq 100 micro futures, not the index CFD)
67%09:00
56%10:00
53%11:00
53%12:00
56%13:00
56%14:00
50%15:00
53%16:00
on the first move’s side of the release price at that timeon the other side at that time
Trend or reversal? Did the first 5 minutes set the direction to the 16:00 ET close
Trend: the 16:00 ET close was on the same side of the release price as the 5-minute mark. Reversal: it closed on the other side. Neither says what happened in between. Past counts, not odds for the next release.
All16 of 26 held
↗ 62% trend38% reversal ↺
↗ 62% trend↺ 38% reversal
Last 6 months3 of 4 held
↗ 75% trend25% reversal ↺
↗ 75% trend↺ 25% reversal
Latest3 Sep 2026
↗ Trendfirst 5 min up 0.22%, 16:00 close up 1.33% from the release price
ordinary day without one of these releases at 08:30 ET: 54% (313 of 579 weekdays, measured on Nasdaq 100 micro futures, not the index CFD)
73%09:00
58%10:00
58%11:00
65%12:00
65%13:00
65%14:00
69%15:00
62%16:00
on the first move’s side of the release price at that timeon the other side at that time
Trend or reversal? Did the first 5 minutes set the direction to the 16:00 ET close
Trend: the 16:00 ET close was on the same side of the release price as the 5-minute mark. Reversal: it closed on the other side. Neither says what happened in between. Past counts, not odds for the next release.
All26 of 37 held
↗ 70% trend30% reversal ↺
↗ 70% trend↺ 30% reversal
Last 6 months5 of 6 held
↗ 83% trend17% reversal ↺
↗ 83% trend↺ 17% reversal
Latest2 Oct 2026
↗ Trendfirst 5 min up 0.40%, 16:00 close up 0.24% from the release price
ordinary day without one of these releases at 08:30 ET: 54% (313 of 579 weekdays, measured on Nasdaq 100 micro futures, not the index CFD)
84%09:00
81%10:00
68%11:00
59%12:00
59%13:00
65%14:00
70%15:00
70%16:00
on the first move’s side of the release price at that timeon the other side at that time
The six largest companies in each slot are named, all worth more than $10 billion, grouped by market cap as a rough guide to size. Cap alone does not tell you whether a company is in an index, how much it weighs there, or how far its report will move anything. Smaller companies are counted, not listed - on a busy day that is over 200 of them. Each day is split by when the report lands: before the open sets up the cash session, after the close shows up in the next morning's gap.
over $500 billion$100 to $500 billion$10 to $100 billion
Monday, 2 Nov
Before the open
MARMarriott International$107B
IDXXIDEXX Laboratories, Inc.$53B
ETREntergy Corporation$52B
ELEstee Lauder Companies, Inc. (The)$38B
PEGPublic Service Enterprise Group Incorporated$36B
RYAAYRyanair Holdings plc$28B
After the close
AAPLApple Inc.$4.8T
PLTRPalantir Technologies Inc.$421B
WMBWilliams Companies, Inc. (The)$184B
VRTXVertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated$135B
ORealty Income Corporation$54B
FANGDiamondback Energy, Inc.$54B
Time not announced
LITELumentum Holdings Inc.$62B
PKXPOSCO HOLDINGS INC.$16B
and 23 more worth $10 billion or more, plus 116 smaller companies
Tuesday, 3 Nov
Before the open
SHOPShopify Inc.$185B
PFEPfizer, Inc.$171B
ETNEaton Corporation, PLC$152B
MPCMarathon Petroleum Corporation$120B
RACEFerrari N.V.$97B
APOApollo Global Management, Inc.$67B
After the close
AMDAdvanced Micro Devices, Inc.$790B
AMGNAmgen Inc.$249B
ANETArista Networks, Inc.$214B
BKNGBooking Holdings Inc.$117B
SUSuncor Energy Inc.$88B
ITUBItau Unibanco Banco Holding SA$78B
Time not announced
EMBJEmbraer S.A.$14B
GRABGrab Holdings Limited$13B
LTMLATAM Airlines Group S.A.$13B
AESThe AES Corporation$11B
SYRESpyre Therapeutics, Inc.$10B
and 46 more worth $10 billion or more, plus 220 smaller companies
Wednesday, 4 Nov
Before the open
MCDMcDonald's Corporation$186B
NVONovo Nordisk A/S$178B
UBERUber Technologies, Inc.$136B
CVSCVS Health Corporation$117B
EMREmerson Electric Company$93B
DDOGDatadog, Inc.$79B
After the close
ARMArm Holdings plc$215B
QCOMQUALCOMM Incorporated$173B
MCKMcKesson Corporation$117B
MELIMercadoLibre, Inc.$84B
APPApplovin Corporation$82B
MSIMotorola Solutions, Inc.$81B
Time not announced
TMToyota Motor Corp Ltd Ord$252B
TECHBio-Techne Corp$11B
and 73 more worth $10 billion or more, plus 372 smaller companies
Thursday, 5 Nov
Before the open
COPConocoPhillips$173B
SONYSony Group Corporation$150B
PHParker-Hannifin Corporation$119B
CNQCanadian Natural Resources Limited$111B
SOSouthern Company (The)$108B
DUKDuke Energy Corporation$99B
After the close
MNSTMonster Beverage Corporation$139B
ABNBAirbnb, Inc.$100B
NETCloudflare, Inc.$97B
EOGEOG Resources, Inc.$81B
SPGSimon Property Group, Inc.$72B
NTRANatera, Inc.$56B
Time not announced
ECHOEchoStar Corporation$30B
QXOQXO, Inc.$12B
SKMSK Telecom Co., Ltd.$12B
GSATGlobalstar, Inc.$11B
and 66 more worth $10 billion or more, plus 530 smaller companies
Friday, 6 Nov
Before the open
ENBEnbridge Inc$107B
MRNAModerna, Inc.$91B
BAMBrookfield Asset Management$81B
HUMHumana Inc.$50B
VSTVistra Corp.$47B
PPLPPL Corporation$27B
Time not announced
BRK.ABerkshire Hathaway Inc.$1.2T
BRK.BBerkshire Hathaway Inc.$1.2T
HMCHonda Motor Company, Ltd.$44B
UIUbiquiti Inc.$33B
FRHCFreedom Holding Corp.$12B
and 7 more worth $10 billion or more, plus 99 smaller companies
Reporting dates and company sizes from Nasdaq's own earnings calendar. Size is a stand-in for weight in an index, which is what actually decides how far a report can push the market - a large company outside the Nasdaq 100 and the S&P 500 will still be listed here.
Get the week ahead, with the numbers
One email before the week opens: which releases are coming, and how the Nasdaq 100 and S&P 500 moved after the last five of each.
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